Monitoring the performance of Crypterium Indicators

You don't have to look at the spreadsheet (for 11 November) but you can if you want.

My spoiler commentary suggests the predictions are up to 5.4% gains for the four coins I selected (corrected predictions) while the actual prices declined by up to 4.51%. None were gains.

By 13 November the biggest predicted price was 16.47% down (elf), and the smallest loss was 0.07% for chsb. My overall losses were 5.85%.

But to track back a day.

History

On 12 November 2020 at 08:00CET the results were -12.7% for elf, -4.82% for zrx, +1.4% for bat and -0.62% for chsb. My investments in these were down 4.74% compared to 4.19% down as the average price.

Crypterium claimed a 3.76% rise for elf in 24 hours and recommended sell by 71% but suggested waiting till aelf rose.

It noted a decline of 1.39% for zrx, compared to my 4.82% loss, and again recommended waiting for the price to rise.

For bat crypterium reported a 0.91% decline, a 58% recommendation to sell while advising waiting for the price to rise.

chsb was credited with a 3.31% loss, compared to my -0.62%, and a 58% chance of falling further, with advice to wait for it to climb higher.

Here is the 11/11spreadsheet as a page frame:

Here are four labelled buys for 11 November 2020. You can see that the predicted gains in column I are from 7.86% to 1.89%.

Column N shows the difference between my entry price for purchases (at around 9 hours after the predictions were calculated) and the difference at 15:45 GMT (15 hours 45 min. after the indicators were produced).

These were all negative: from -4.51% to -0.42%.

No correlation can be seen between I and N or column I and the return on the day (column E) reported by coinmarketcap.

I have rectified the % predictions by the % certainty specified by cypterium for its prediction (J). Notice how much less they are than the flat prediction (I). But there still seems no correlation.

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